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Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 10/1

October 1, 2021 by Zone Coverage Leave a Comment

Locks

NCAA Football (1 Unit) BYU 1st Half -5 (-110) @ Utah State: 8:00 PM CT on CBS Sports Network

The BYU Cougars have been a fast riser up the rankings with some impressive wins, but this is their first road test and I think they’ll come out focused.

The Cougars were dominant to open their last game against South Florida, but let the Bulls back in the game by getting outscored 21-7 in the 2nd half. I don’t think that lapse is sitting well with coach Kalani Sitake who usually runs a tight and well-focused team. I see them coming out strong here against a Utah State team that is nowhere near as talented as their record would indicate.

The Aggies were exposed against their first true competition last week in a 27-3 thumping by Boise State. It was the fourth straight time they’ve started slow, as their 1st half scoring differential is minus-23 and they’ve never led at the half. BYU also gets starting quarterback Jaren Hall back for this game against a Utah State defense that’s 120th in yards allowed.

While the Aggies are just 1-10 ATS in their past 11 as a home underdog, the line for this game is approaching double digits. That’s a bit much against a team with an offense that’s excellent at playing from behind. I’ll count instead on a re-focused BYU team coming out strong here.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 389-288 ATS (+93.5 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.

Filed Under: Minnesota United FC

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