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Projecting the Postseason Winners

November 8, 2024 by Off The Baggy

 

After winning two straight AL Central Division titles, the
Minnesota Twins flopped and failed a three-peat before things got off the
ground. They’ll watch this Postseason from home, but there’s still plenty of
exciting talent worth tuning into.

Running from the Wild Card round through the World Series, here’s
who I’ve got and why:

AL Wild Card

Yankees over Red Sox

In a one game, winner take all, I don’t think you can bet
against Gerrit Cole, and the lineup New York currently has clicking. Aaron
Judge and Giancarlo Stanton have carried this team for weeks. The club nearly
gave it away on the final day, but I think they beat their biggest rival at
home. Boston owned a 10-9 record with a +1 run differential over the Yankees
this season. New York will attempt to even that out.

AL Division Series

Rays over Yankees

There’s no denying that New York has the better ace, but
Tampa has owned this matchup all year. While New York is just 8-11 against the
Rays in 2021, they have a -48 run differential. The Yankees do have some
veteran leadership on their side, but I don’t know that Corey Kluber is a guy I
want to hang my Postseason hopes on. The lineup is peaking, but it may have
come a bit too soon. I think a very big X-factor here for Tampa Bay could be
the usage of highly-touted prospect Shane Baz.

Astros over White Sox

A very small sample, sure, but Chicago was just 2-5 with a
-12 run differential against Houston this season. Although the White Sox may
have the better rotation, I’m not sure it’s that much of a discrepancy. Houston
has largely flown under the radar this season, and the entire lineup is full of
star power. Alex Bregman on a big stage always is must-see television.

AL Championship Series

Astros over Rays

These two clubs played each other just six times in 2021,
and they nearly split the action with just three runs separating the contests.
Both forward-thinking approaches to the game, this should be a fun series.
Tampa Bay is looking for a return trip to the World Series, but Houston gets an
opportunity to distance themselves from the cheating scandal.

NL Wild Card

Dodgers over Cardinals

Welcome to a year in which a team that won 106 games is
playing in a one-game, winner-take-all, affair. The Dodgers have any number of
arms to piece this one together, and their lineup should be expected to cause
fits for whoever St. Louis puts on the bump. It’s a tough spot, but this is
where’d you’d like to believe the best team shines.

NL Division Series

Dodgers over Giants

San Francisco has been the best story of the season in my
mind. A team expected to do so little comes out and wins 107 games. These two
clubs nearly split their 19 contests and Los Angeles held a +2 run
differential. It’s a lot tighter of a matchup than it may seem, but I think
this is a spot where the higher tiered talent rises to the occasion. Clayton
Kershaw being out hurts Los Angeles, but if there’s an organization with
starting arms to make up for it, they are it.

Braves over Brewers

Initially I wanted to ride with Milwaukee’s pitchers, but
Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff can’t do it all. Behind them is a rotation leaving
plenty to be desired, and the lineup is more name than it is substance. Atlanta
will have to prove that they’re more than an 88-win team coming out of a very
mediocre decision, but Freddie Freeman can carry this club. Atlanta seems like
a strong flier team, and one worth taking a shot on.

NL Championship Series

Dodgers over Braves

If Los Angeles can get past the test that is their first two
rounds, they should be looking at a trip to the World Series. Regardless of who
comes out of the bottom half of the National League bracket, they should be
facing an uphill battle. This is where Atlanta wears down and the Dodgers go
back to seek a second-straight World Series.

World Series

The National League has won each of the past two World
Series. No team has won back-to-back World Series since the New York Yankees
ended their last three-peat in 2000. Houston and Los Angeles faced off during
the 2017 World Series, which the Astros won over Dave Roberts. Dusty Baker is
at the helm in Houston now and is looking for just the second pennant of his
career, and first ring. Again, Houston’s ability has been overlooked much of
the season and I think we see a replicated result from 2017. Your 2021 Major
League Baseball Champions are the Houston Astros.

Astros over Dodgers

Filed Under: Twins

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